deepvane

Stories — anatomies of signals

Each story walks through a single moment when the engine fired or stayed quiet — what the user saw, which factors were doing the work, and what happened next. Long-form storytelling is the antidote to opaque jargon: if the engine's behaviour can't be told as a story, it probably isn't understandable enough to act on.

How NVDA went from 65 to 87

2026-04-29

Anatomy of a top-decile signal that played out over six weeks.

What the engine showed on day one, which factors carried the score, the conformal interval, and what the user would have seen in real time as the price ran up 34%.

Read the story →

A pharma catalyst that didn't fire

planned

Phase 3 readout that the model rated favourably — and then missed.

The honest version of a model miss: which signals fired, which didn't, what the Bayesian P(success) was, and what a confidence-weighted position would have lost.

Coming after 2026-05-16 calibration window

A regime flip caught early by BOCPD

planned

When the change-point posterior spiked before market sentiment turned.

A walk-through of one BOCPD changepoint moment — how the regime posterior shifted, which factors re-weighted, and what the dashboard surfaced over the following days.

Coming after 2026-05-16 calibration window
For the academic stack → See methodology for the math, coherence for live invariant checks, track record for measured IC, and blog for longer essays on individual factors.